ThisTracks

The Economic Watch Desk

ThisTracks the Market

Should I Be Worried?

Week of September 27, 2026 · updated September 27, 2026

44 Normal

→ This week's reading is steady compared to last week.

This is a gauge, not a crystal ball. It reflects where economic stress indicators sit today — it does not predict what markets will do next.

What moved this week

High-yield credit spread

Currently: 2.80

High-yield credit spread got worse this week (risk score +18), now at a risk reading of 24/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.

Investment-grade spread

Currently: 0.79

Investment-grade spread got worse this week (risk score +10), now at a risk reading of 23/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.

S&P 500 drawdown

Currently: -0.7% from 1y high

S&P 500 drawdown got worse this week (risk score +6), now at a risk reading of 37/100. How far stocks have pulled back from their recent highs — a rough gauge of how nervous investors are right now.

What to do about it