ThisTracks the Market
Week of October 3, 2026 · updated October 3, 2026
↑ This week's reading is rising compared to last week.
This is a gauge, not a crystal ball. It reflects where economic stress indicators sit today — it does not predict what markets will do next.
Currently: 3.24
High-yield credit spread got worse this week (risk score +30), now at a risk reading of 69/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.
Currently: 16.39
VIX (volatility) got worse this week (risk score +20), now at a risk reading of 54/100. How confident (or scared) people say they feel about their own finances — sentiment tends to move before spending does.
Currently: 0.86
Investment-grade spread got worse this week (risk score +13), now at a risk reading of 49/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.