ThisTracks the Market
Week of September 30, 2026 · updated September 30, 2026
↑ This week's reading is rising compared to last week.
This is a gauge, not a crystal ball. It reflects where economic stress indicators sit today — it does not predict what markets will do next.
Currently: 3.02
High-yield credit spread got worse this week (risk score +22), now at a risk reading of 46/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.
Currently: 0.83
Investment-grade spread got worse this week (risk score +20), now at a risk reading of 43/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.
Currently: 16.07
VIX (volatility) got worse this week (risk score +17), now at a risk reading of 50/100. How confident (or scared) people say they feel about their own finances — sentiment tends to move before spending does.