ThisTracks the Market
Week of October 4, 2026 · updated October 4, 2026
→ This week's reading is steady compared to last week.
This is a gauge, not a crystal ball. It reflects where economic stress indicators sit today — it does not predict what markets will do next.
Currently: 3.24
High-yield credit spread got worse this week (risk score +23), now at a risk reading of 69/100. When this widens, it gets more expensive for businesses and households to borrow — a leading sign that lenders are getting nervous.
Currently: $445M (2.0x baseline)
Megacap discretionary insider selling eased this week (risk score -18), now at a risk reading of 82/100. When company executives sell their own stock outside of pre-set trading plans, it's sometimes a tell that they see trouble ahead.
Currently: -1.0% from 1y high
S&P 500 drawdown eased this week (risk score -9), now at a risk reading of 42/100. How far stocks have pulled back from their recent highs — a rough gauge of how nervous investors are right now.